<$IT, politics, e-democracy, cyberpolitics, IT and politics$>

Sunday, February 13, 2005

Dean Again?!

Howard Dean propelled the Internet, blogs, meet-ups, and web-donations in politics to the forefront of American politics.

Now, neeees baaack, as the new chair of the Democratic National Committee.

So is his cyberwonkishness gonna get the Dems back to a majority?

I don't think so.

I wanteched all this erupting during the Iowa caucuses - I've done that for 34 years since coming to Ames, Iowa. The people who brought him down from first place, to third, and ended his career were not blogging gearheads! They were the old, analog party activists and party hacks who always make the winner!

The cyberspace generation will eventually come into its own and get that niche in the political world. Of course, I'd guess that there are as many Republicans and right wingers as Democrtas and leftie-greenies. So, as with all strategies and platforms, I think both parties will gain a new, fresh, digital community.

And, may I add that the constituency the Democrats want to mobilize, the poor, immigrants, inner city folks, christians (or God fearing people) are probably not as wired as their other constituency, left leaning, liberal college and university people. Remember, this is the Democratic party that's been called the party of poor blacks and Ph.D.'s! So, it becomes hard to see how Dean's most successfull signature tool, the Internet, can make the difference and bring the Dems back.

Stay tuned!

Saturday, September 18, 2004

60 Minutes Scandal

In September of 2004 the CBS program 60 Minutes reported that President George W. Bush had been given special treatment during his Vietnam-era service in the Texas National Guard. Central to the story were documents written and signed by President Bush's late National Guard commander Lt. Col. Jerry B. Killian. In several of these documents Killian wrote that he had been pressured to "sugarcoat the performance ratings" of Bush who was at the time the son of a Texas congressman (George H. Bush). The memos also showed that Bush failed to follow orders to take a physical examination required by the National Guard. The documents, copies of originals, had been obtained from "unnamed" sources that CBS claimed were reliable.

If true, the allegations and these documents would be embarrassing to Pres. Bush as he entered the last two months of his reelection campaign since they raised questions about his military service and his use of family connections to get into the Guard, avoid getting drafted and probably sent to Vietnam. His Democratic opponent Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts had made his own Vietnam service and heroism (3 Purple Hearts and other medals) a cornerstone of his campaign. Vietnam war veterans hostile to Kerry and allegedly linked to the Bush campaign had recently run attack ads questioning the veracity of Kerry's heroism and successfully damaging Kerry in the polls.

This story would have gone virtually unchallenged in the past because the power of CBS and the "reputation" of 60 Minutes and veteran anchor and reporter Dan Rather, have been almost unassailable. However, in this case something amazing happened literally within hours of the airing of the story.

Web loggers, Bloggers, began to raise questions about the documents' veracity. The first to enter the fray were Freerepublic.com, powerlineblog.com, and littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog. Blogs are on-line journals or "publications" that allow for easy posting, are interactive, and sometimes investigative.

Bloggers claimed that some of the documents looked like they had been produced by a computer using modern software, probably Microsoft Word, neither of which were available in 1972 when the documents were supposedly written. In question were the type style, Times New Roman, the use of superscripts on the 111th (the number of the squadron Bush served in), and the spacing of the type. Also in doubt were the signatures of Col. Killian.

The Dallas Morning News asked Col. Killian's former secretary, an 86-year-old woman by the name of Marian Carr Knox, about the documents. Regarding the documents, she was quoted as saying "These are not real. They're not what I typed, and I would have typed them for him," but she said the content was true. Dan rather later interviewed her and clearly seemed delighted that she verified the spirit or message of the memo’s, never mind that they were probably fake!

Thus "Rathergate" was born. (Note; in the US any scandal is "gated" following the big enchilada of scandals, Richard Nixon's Watergate).

What I find extraordinary about this tale is that ordinary people, using the Internet and web logs, were able to challenge and seriously threaten the veracity and credibility of a multi-billion dollar news empire such as CBS. More amazing is the fact that these Bloggers have damaged and perhaps in the long run destroyed the credibility of Dan Rather who was the lead reporter on this story and who, in the face of these serious allegations of fake documents, clearly decided to sandbag questions from other news outlets about the credibility and origin of the memos. The venerable 60 Minutes itself may be at risk.

Rather and CBS refused to reveal where or how they obtained the documents and also did not come forward with all the "experts" who had been consulted. Several document specialists, who came out on their own after the story broke, told CBS the documents were fake, but they were ignored. The program seems to have relied on only one document specialist who had, as it turns out, looked primarily at the signature of Col. Killian on the documents. When he was asked after the scandal broke, he said he'd only verified Killian's signature, but he said felt it was possible that a legit signature had been copied and pasted into the memos.

The arrival of Bloggers on the scene has totally changed the nature of media.

I attended the 2004 Democratic National Convention (DNC) in Boston. For the first time in history there was a Bloggers Section. Bloggers were accredited by the DNC just as they accredited TV, Radio, and the print media. In fact, so many Bloggers had applied for credentials that the Democrats had a difficult time sorting out a reasonable number to whom credentials were given. In the "Talk Radio Alley " where I was located for part of the convention, Bloggers were much sought out celebrities. Young men and women who in the past might work their way up the traditional institutional media ladder for many, many years were now directly injected into the news and commentary stream. All of them were producing commentary and descriptions that were far more exciting, novel, passionate, intense, interesting, and often brilliant than the usual fare we read or hear.

Millions of American and indeed people all over the world are now writing and also reading Blogs as their primary source of information, commentary, and communication. Bloggers are building virtual communities of people who share interests ranging from food, sexual orientation, surfing, human rights, health, information technology, to environmentalism, sailing, Scuba diving, and politics, which are my four passions (I have four Blogs but of course my political material is the most active and has been quoted by many mainstream electronic and print media).

Blogs are the "new media" and as challengers to the established, previously unrivaled, and arrogant "mainstream", BIG and Powerful media, I think Blogs are one of the most amazing and significant developments of the information technology revolution.

Orlando Sentinel's Kathleen Parker had a column titled "Bloggers do job better than media" (9-16-04). She refers to the blogosphere as an " ... intellectual ecosystem wherein the best specimens from various disciplines descend from the ether, converge on an issue and apply their talents."

Ok, maybe not.

I have seen Blogs that represent the worst specimens descend on the blogosphere, racists, misogynists, stupid and misinformed people, predators, identity thieves, and, I would assume, even terrorists.

Still, from where I sit right now in 2004 looking over the vast battleground of American politics, it's a remarkable thing to watch the New York Times, Washington Post, the major networks, Newsweek, and CNN pull up the rear on this scandal. And by the way, all the evidence tells me it was not a mistake, not an oversight, not "sloppy journalism", but a deliberate act.

Blogs are the ultimate democratization of information. They represent "disintermediated empowerment", the direct connection between people without the old information "brokers" (intermediaries) who have spun their tale and told us not just what is news but also how to think about events, and who often represented the views and interests of a small, national cultural media elite. If you’ve ever watched any of the network programming, you realize that it's all the same, the sequence of stories, who's interviewed, the message we're supposed to get. Anyone who watches mainstream TV news or political talk programs can't help but wonder why the same people are the "experts" on all the shows and why they come from New York or Washington DC but rarely from San Diego, Des Moines, or Tuscaloosa. Even Public Radio and television use the same commentators and in many cases they also write columns for the New York Times or Washington Post. It often looks as if all of mainstream media political news is produced in one large warehouse and then delivered, like so many Krispy Kreme donuts to all the outlets. True, the Fox Network and media mogul Rupert Murdoch's newspapers, Rush Limbaugh and conservative talk radio add a more conservative perspective on events. In fact, the absence of a successful liberal talk radio alternative makes this medium disturbingly monochromatic.

Bloggers are the "bottom up revolution" of media. For better or worse they add ideological and philosophical diversity to news and commentary. They reflect the divided, fragmented, and interesting plurality of American society. E pluribus unum has been misused by the political, cultural, and media elites. The unum is what they define it as. Bloggers are the pluribus!

Bloggers also represent a serious challenge to the arrogance of the establishment who now must be very, very careful what they print, transmit, or articulate because the Bloggers will be looking over their shoulders. This will make news reporting and analysis more complete, more diverse, and ultimately more precise. In the final analysis bloggers will make this a more democratic and accountable nation and improve the quality of our political discourse.

Postscript - A day after I wrote these comments the Washington Post reported that a retired Texas National Guard officer, Lt. Col. Bill Burkett had posted comments on several Yahoo and other discussion groups (including Online Journal) urging the Democrats to wage "war" against the Reblican ticket of Bush/Chaney. He had also laid out a strategy for justifying "down and dirty" tactics.

blog n. [short for Web log] 1. a website that accommodates easy and frequent posting on any topic; 2. an online platform for personal anecdotes, criticism and discussion, often featuring links to other websites;

About the author: Steffen Schmidt is University Professor of Political Science at Iowa State University and is also Professor of Costal Zone Management and Environment at Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida. His weekly radio talk show can be heard at WOI.org streaming live. He is a frequent commentator on CNN in Spanish, the BBC, Clear Channel station KASI, Radio Francia en Espanol, and the Arne Arneson Show in New Hampshire. His comments also appear in the Christian Science Monitor, Reuters News, the New York Times, Chicago Tribune, Boston Globe, Dallas Morning News, Newsweek, and other major publications.

© 2004, SEAS Consulting blog.

Wednesday, September 08, 2004

Hurricanes and Russian Terror

CNN in Spanish asked me last night (Sept 7, 2004) if the hurricanes in Florida and federal assistance would help Bush get reelected. Well, the media frenzy over the storms and the photo ops for the president "caring" and "distributing" 2 billion dollars of aid certainly give him viz.

On this issue I think Kerry should have launched a national charity fund raiser or given some of his own money and flown down to hard hit trailer parks and shelters and distribute food and clothing. He could also join Jimmy Carter and spend a week end building a Habitat for Humanity home for some elderly homeless couple in West Alligator. He just doesn't have a feel for connecting, does he!?

More generally I told my 27 million Latin American viewers (yes, that's the CNN in Spanish/Latin american market share!) that right after New York and the GOP "Red Meat Fest", as we are calling it, Kerry got slammed by:

1. Hurricane Frances
2. Bill Clinton's heart surgery
3. The Horrible Russian massacre of school children

All three of these sucked the media and blog oxygen out of the air. Kerry's speeches/ campaigning got almost no news at all. Bad Feng Shue? I think so! Somebody send Kerry a lucky rabbit foot!

Incidentally, how good did this look - Kerry calls Clinton for one hour of advice on how to turn the campaign around just before Clinton's surgery and borrows some of Bill's politicos - I guess "Help is on the Way!" - the slogan of the Democratic convention in Boston!

I don't think that's what they were talking about!

sws

Monday, September 06, 2004

Insights After the GOP Convention

1. Bill Clinton got heart pains right after the GOP convention and when Kerry went to 41 to 52% against Bush. Coincidence? My contacts in the heart of the campaign think not!

2. the Bush daughters were shallow and giggly. Mistake? My contacts in the Bush machine say "noooot"! They did focus grousp. Amy Carter and Chelsey Clinton (Rhodes Scholar) came up "puke" as one operative told me. The Bush "girls' are middle America - silent majority. Another stealth move.

3. Zell Miller the Democrat Darth Vader at the GOP convention. Focus grousp, focus groups, focus groups.!! My sources tell me that they tested Zell The Avenger against Edwards the Breck Girl and they found that Big Smile and Optimistic about the future got NUKED against people's sense that we are under scrutiny (and threat) by Middle Eastern killers. Dark and Marine wins against smiley and Trial lawyer. This is all just "selling toothpaste". Don't take it personally! (One informant told sommented "Steffen, when the killers are coming for you and your family do you want former marine Zell with a three day stublle, a Swisher sweet cigar in his mouth and a "death grip" on the killer's throat or a trial lawyer who cna do a killer closing argument! ?

I'm convinced! This is a political war not a campaign!

Schmidt

Blogging 2004 Election

I ran into some people at the national Polit sci meetings in Chicago who blog politics. I was amazed at how narrowcast their view of the world is! Tlk about the electronic media having shrunk from broadcast (3 major TV networks) to narrow-cast (cable, Fox, Internet news, etc) ... these people were not communicating with anyone except people who agreed ideologically (almost exclusively Liberal for the group I met). Then they have interse arguments among themselves but on an incredibly narrow spectrum (is this dancing or blogging on the head of a pin!).

When I talked about the Midwest and conservatives or moderates they seemed quite confused and uninformed. Is this the Balkanization of American dialog? (The Balkans are a metaphore for fragmented into many tiny ieces like the area of former Yugoslavia we call the Balkans). Any ideas? Or are there threads that penetrate across affinity lines?

Steffen

Sunday, August 29, 2004

Information Politics

I am struck by the fact the IT - Information technology - is also becoming a foundation for politics and elections in the United States. I think that's a very interesting and important development. Not only did kerry respond to the Swift Boat Vets attack on him over Vietnam by launching an Internet commercial, but he also picked his presidential running mate (Sen. Edwards) by sending an e-mail to all his supporters and telling them what he was doing.


Moreover, like Howard Dean who pioneered this in the promaries, Kerry is raising funds from internet contributers. This is a very exciting new use of IT and will become a big part of politics in the future.